أمن وإستراتيجية

Hezbollah’s response to the Israeli military operations in Gaza… Hezbollah’s response strategy that worries Israel

Mohammed Nasser

Hezbollah’s response to the Israeli military operations in Gaza… Hezbollah’s response strategy that worries Israel

The ambiguity of Hezbollah’s position on the current war in the Gaza Strip falls within the strategy of the Islamic resistance in Lebanon, which aims to exert the greatest possible psychological pressure on Israeli leaders.

Several media outlets circulated news saying that Israel, through intermediaries, warned Hezbollah that any intervention in this war would lead to very strong strikes against Syria that could lead to the overthrow of Bashar al-Assad’s regime. Other reports indicated a strong warning from the United States to Hezbollah, What is certain is that Hezbollah was not previously deterred by any external threats, and it does not seem that this resistance organization will be deterred now or in the future.

The biggest and most important question at this stage is how the Lebanese Hezbollah will intervene to support the Palestinian resistance movements in the Gaza Strip, led by the military wing of the Islamic Resistance Movement. The simple answer is that Hezbollah decided to intervene in the war and participate through a multi-stage escalation plan, the first stage. The first is the ambiguity and failure to clarify the situation, and leaving the door open for direct intervention by Hezbollah forces in this war, in order to freeze the largest possible number of Israeli army forces and anti-missile air defense batteries, and also force the Israeli army leadership to maintain the largest possible reserve. Of guided munitions, ensuring that it does not participate in the war against the Gaza Strip, and also forcing Israeli intelligence to disperse its efforts, searching for information related to the activity and movements of Hezbollah, and this appeared clearly and directly in the first three days of the confrontation, then the gradual escalation and attempt Luring a major Israeli attack on southern Lebanon until it turns into a justification for intervention, and this gradual escalation gives the observer the impression that there is a prior agreement with the rest of the resistance factions in Palestine, and comes within the goal of the Islamic resistance tactic aimed at freezing a huge number of Israeli army forces in the north. As for the big goal Strategic means psychological pressure on the military and political decision-maker in the Hebrew state, forcing him to modify war plans and wait for any surprise from the north.

The gradual escalation also aims to leave the door open to any dangerous military development, and to force Israel to quickly end the military operation in the Gaza Strip, because any continuation of the battle for more than two weeks may turn the current war into a long war that will continue for several months in the event that the situation in this war slides and a party enters. God is in the line. If Israel’s military and political leadership is now planning a war that will last for 3 to 4 weeks against the Gaza Strip, it may turn into a war that will last for another 3 or 4 weeks with Hezbollah, and with it the axis of resistance, and everyone knows that Israel cannot tolerate a war. It continues for 7 or 8 weeks, during which life stops in this weak, fragile, and militarily and strategically impotent country.

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