If Hassan Nasrallah does not deliver a speech, Hezbollah will enter the war against Israel
M Nasser
If Hassan Nasrallah does not deliver a speech, Hezbollah will enter the war against Israel
The Hezbollah leadership in Lebanon knows that the cost of not entering the current war against Israel, no matter how great it is, is much greater than the cost of not entering this war. However, the calculations of the new war are complex for the Hezbollah leadership, because they are closely linked to the party’s network of allies and to the internal situation in Lebanon .
Possibilities for Hezbollah’s position on the Gaza War are either that Nasrallah is waiting to obtain accurate intelligence information before officially announcing Hezbollah’s position on the major war taking place in southern Palestine in the Gaza Strip. This means that the new war surprised the Islamic resistance in Lebanon, or that Hezbollah He officially decided to enter the war, whatever the outcome, and what is happening now is preparation for the start of the confrontation. As for the third and final possibility, it is the intervention of major countries that pressured Hezbollah not to enter this war. The pressure may come from the allies, Iran and Syria, for various reasons, and in this case it needs an audience. Hezbollah has requested clarifications from its Secretary-General. If Hassan Nasrallah does not appear before next Friday, this means that Hezbollah has already decided to enter the war.
In his expected speech, Hassan Nasrallah will speak and clarify the position of the Islamic resistance on the current war and the situation in Gaza, Palestine, and will set red lines for Israel.
The Secretary-General of the Lebanese Hezbollah has no choice but to deliver a speech in which he clarifies the position of the Lebanese Hezbollah on the ongoing war in Gaza, Palestine, and defines the duties of the Islamic resistance in this war. He is well aware that any political statement by Hezbollah will not gain credibility with the Israeli decision-maker. Who needs to hear the position from Hassan Nasrallah himself, for this reason Hassan Nasrallah will speak soon in a new speech, and will precisely define the situation, if he decides that he is not interested in the war, a surprise may occur if Nasrallah announces in an official speech entering the war.
On the other hand, according to what is published and leaked information, Hassan Nasrallah is under great pressure from within Hezbollah from the extremists in the party and its military wing in order to enter this war, whatever the cost. Inside Hezbollah, the extremists say that the opportunity is now ripe to confront Israel, and to strike a major blow. For Israel, any waiting or postponing the military confrontation means allowing Israel to isolate itself from the Palestinian resistance factions, and later attack Hezbollah. At the same time, Hassan Nasrallah, the leader of the “Axis of Resistance,” knows that his popular standing will be damaged if he does not move in the direction of supporting the factions. The resistance in Palestine, and it is well aware that leaving the space for Israel to monopolize Hamas and the rest of the resistance factions in Gaza would be tantamount to “historic betrayal.” At the same time, Hezbollah is exposed to internal pressure from Lebanese political parties that refuse any involvement of Lebanon in this new war. Because of the major economic crisis that Lebanon is experiencing.
